Tag Archives: crowdsourcing

The Crowd, the Service, the Game and the Future (at the Institute for the Future)

A friend and colleague Jake Dunagan (@dunagan23) started an important initiative at the Institute for the Future called the Governance Futures Lab. I gave a lightning talk at the launch event (The Reconstitution Convention) about how we use foresight in the UAE.  It covers a bit of the history of the UAE and Dubai, about futures […]

Foresight & Surprise at LIFT 13

I had the pleasure of giving a talk at LIFT 13 in Geneva on the topic of networks, foresight and strategic surprise. It was an extraordinary event, one of the best I’ve been to in years. I highly recommend going if you haven’t already. Summary of my talk In the talk I went over two […]

Crowdsourced Futures

I’m honored to have two chapters included in the recent new book, “The Future of Futures“, published by the Association of Professional Futurists. The book explores emerging issues in scenario planning and foresight. My first chapter, reproduced below, is about the effect of crowdsourcing, big data and the web on scenario planning and foresight.   You […]

Complete PhD Online

I finished my PhD at MIT this August, on “Large Scale Participatory Futures Systems: a Comparative Study of Online Scenario Planning Approaches”. I’ll write more soon, but here is the full PDF (11.4 megabytes) and the slides from my defense, below. From the abstract: This dissertation explores the role that participatory online collective intelligence systems […]

Guest blogging at Cognitive Edge, Updated

I finished guest blogging at Dave Snowden’s Cognitive Edge site recently.  Go have a look and see what you think. So far I’ve blogged about: Foveal and Peripheral Vision Threats: What Kind of Threats Do We Face in the 21st Century? Learning to See the Unseen New Movement, New Mastery: Perceptual Dexterity in the 21st […]

The Future of Public Services; Innovations in Online Scenario Planning, Part 2

The following mini-scenarios were created using the SenseMaker Suite Scenarios approach developed for my PhD with Dave Snowden and Wendy Schultz.   They were auto-aggregated using narrative fragments contributed by over 265 participants from around the world.  In other words, participants submitted stories of the future, tagged them, and then the system clustered them based […]

Update from the Oxford Futures Forum, 2011

This week (April 18th) I attended the third Oxford Futures Forum at the Said Business School of Oxford University.  Among other things, the Forum aimed to: Forge and support an international community of future-minded practices aimed at actionable knowledge. It was a remarkable gathering of futures practitioners, young and old, with a partial list of […]

Eight Ideas for 21st-Century Risk Managers

UPDATE (April, 2011): The full article (“Gifts of Sight“) is now online at Risk Professional magazine.  It is behind a pay wall, but email me and I’ll send you a personal copy. I was recently asked to explain some of the concepts I use in my research to a journalist interested in new developments in […]

An Interview with GBN

I recently did a Q & A for the Fall 2010 issue of the GBN Bulletin (pdf here). Here is an extract from the PDF, in which I talk about crowdsourced scenarios, urban change, design & strategy. I’ve added links and re-inserted a few of references and shout-outs that didn’t make it into the final edit, […]

Emergent Futures Mapping with Futurescaper

Futurescaper is an online tool for making sense of the drivers, trends and forces that will shape the future.  As a user interface system, it still needs development.  As a tool for analyzing and understanding complex systems, it works very well and does something I have yet to see anything else be able to do.  […]