Tag Archives: collapse

“A depression where people are afraid of the sky…”

I was just listing to an old DJ mix I did with Bruce Sterling as part of my NerdHouse Podcast. It’s from his famous Reboot 11 closing speech back in 2010. The speech is full of crushing lines, but the following ones really made me smile. Here is what the future looks like for your […]

Drawing a Better Panarchy Diagram

I am always on the lookout for good graphics and diagrams for my lectures on complexity and adaptive change. I often use the Panarchy cycle, which is a useful theoretical model for explaining how complex adaptive systems change over time.  The image above is from Garry Peterson‘s excellent page describing Panarchy and the Adaptive Cycle […]

On learning, collapse and the reduction of complexity

“…in its beginning it is easy to cure, but hard to recognize; whereas, after a time, not having been detected and treated at the first, it becomes easy to recognize but impossible to cure.” – Niccolo Machievelli In response to a Twitter conversation with Dave Snowden and Andrew Curry, regarding the need / possibility of […]

Complexity and adaptive change

Here is Part Two of a recent lecture I gave on complexity, strategy, and organisational development at the LSE Complexity Programme. This segment introduces a model of adaptive change developed at the Stockholm Resilience Institute, which explain empirical change in complex ecosystems.  The work has been expanded to other classes of socio-ecological systems, with preliminary […]

Preparing for and adapting to radical non-linear change

I’ve finally finished uploading clips from the LSE talk I gave last month on management strategies for complexity and non-linear change. This final clip emphasises that the connectivity, interaction and volatility of complex adaptive systems makes non-linear change inevitable and their timing unknowable.  I then argue that it is difficult to build resilience in the […]

Adapting Snowden's Cynefin Framework to Encompass Systemic Organisational Change

This is part of my recent LSE lecture on complexity strategies for change. In this segment I introduce Dave Snowden‘s Cynefin Framework of knowledge management, then adapt it to Gunderson and Holling’s resilience work on the Adaptive Change Cycle. The result is a new framework for strategy making in the context of different kinds of […]

Competitive strategies during industrial and social collapse, LSE lecture Part 2

A couple of weeks ago I gave the second talk in a series of talks looking at the underlying evidence, mechanisms and meaning of collapse and phase transitions in complex systems and what this means for management. The first talk (slides and video here) focused heavily on the underlying science of collapse and non-linear transitions. […]

Collapse Dynamics: Phase Transitions in Complex Social Systems

Here are the original slides and video from my first lecture at the LSE complexity programme, exploring the underlying mechanisms of phase transition and non-linear change in social systems. This talk focused heavily on the underlying mechanisms of collapse and non-linear transitions.  The evidence suggests that systems become vulnerable to phase transition (i.e., collapse) when […]