Tag Archives: change

“Game Changing” at LOGIN2013

After my LIFT 13 talk, I gave another fun talk about the future,hope and fear, and “game changing events” at LOGIN 2013 (in Vilnius, Lithuania). Summary The organisers asked me to speak about “Game Changers in Politics”, as gaming changing was the theme of the event. I borrowed a trick from Jamais Cascio and opened the talk […]

21st Century Causation

“There was no obvious connection, of course. There never was. Cause and consequence proliferated across the world like a network of fractal cracks, infinitely complex and almost impossible to predict. Explanations in hindsight were a different matter.”

Drawing a Better Panarchy Diagram

I am always on the lookout for good graphics and diagrams for my lectures on complexity and adaptive change. I often use the Panarchy cycle, which is a useful theoretical model for explaining how complex adaptive systems change over time.  The image above is from Garry Peterson‘s excellent page describing Panarchy and the Adaptive Cycle […]

On learning, collapse and the reduction of complexity

“…in its beginning it is easy to cure, but hard to recognize; whereas, after a time, not having been detected and treated at the first, it becomes easy to recognize but impossible to cure.” – Niccolo Machievelli In response to a Twitter conversation with Dave Snowden and Andrew Curry, regarding the need / possibility of […]

What next for scenario planning?

How are online tools and social media transforming the practice of scenario planning? Recently I have been interviewing a variety of high profile futurists and  up-and-coming strategists on how online approaches are transforming scenario planning and futures work. Although the questions have been largely open ended, conducted in person, over the phone and by email, […]

Complexity and adaptive change

Here is Part Two of a recent lecture I gave on complexity, strategy, and organisational development at the LSE Complexity Programme. This segment introduces a model of adaptive change developed at the Stockholm Resilience Institute, which explain empirical change in complex ecosystems.  The work has been expanded to other classes of socio-ecological systems, with preliminary […]

Adapting Snowden's Cynefin Framework to Encompass Systemic Organisational Change

This is part of my recent LSE lecture on complexity strategies for change. In this segment I introduce Dave Snowden‘s Cynefin Framework of knowledge management, then adapt it to Gunderson and Holling’s resilience work on the Adaptive Change Cycle. The result is a new framework for strategy making in the context of different kinds of […]