Category Archives: talks

The Crowd, the Service, the Game and the Future (at the Institute for the Future)

A friend and colleague Jake Dunagan (@dunagan23) started an important initiative at the Institute for the Future called the Governance Futures Lab. I gave a lightning talk at the launch event (The Reconstitution Convention) about how we use foresight in the UAE.  It covers a bit of the history of the UAE and Dubai, about futures […]

“Game Changing” at LOGIN2013

After my LIFT 13 talk, I gave another fun talk about the future,hope and fear, and “game changing events” at LOGIN 2013 (in Vilnius, Lithuania). Summary The organisers asked me to speak about “Game Changers in Politics”, as gaming changing was the theme of the event. I borrowed a trick from Jamais Cascio and opened the talk […]

Foresight & Surprise at LIFT 13

I had the pleasure of giving a talk at LIFT 13 in Geneva on the topic of networks, foresight and strategic surprise. It was an extraordinary event, one of the best I’ve been to in years. I highly recommend going if you haven’t already. Summary of my talk In the talk I went over two […]

Teaching Foresight in Singapore

I recently had the pleasure of co-teaching a one week scenario planning course to a group of students at the University Scholars Programme (USP) of the National University of Singapore. I co-taught the course with three of my favourite friends and foresight practitioners; Aaron Maniam, Stuart Candy and Teddy Zmrhal.  These are some of the most talented practitioners I […]

Back to the Futurist Interview

Alexander Phillips was kind enough to interview me for the very cool “Back to the Futurist” series over at URBNFUTR.  The series highlights some interesting ideas on the future of cities and those who think about them.  Many thanks to @MelissaSterry and the entire URBNFUTR team for the recommendation. PS – Their bio is a bit outdated […]

Update from the Oxford Futures Forum, 2011

This week (April 18th) I attended the third Oxford Futures Forum at the Said Business School of Oxford University.  Among other things, the Forum aimed to: Forge and support an international community of future-minded practices aimed at actionable knowledge. It was a remarkable gathering of futures practitioners, young and old, with a partial list of […]

An Interview with GBN

I recently did a Q & A for the Fall 2010 issue of the GBN Bulletin (pdf here). Here is an extract from the PDF, in which I talk about crowdsourced scenarios, urban change, design & strategy. I’ve added links and re-inserted a few of references and shout-outs that didn’t make it into the final edit, […]

Slides from my recent talk at MIT

I recently was back at MIT presenting some of my research on web-based techniques for collaborative foresight and online scenario planning.  Here are the slides from my presentation. The presentation starts with a general overview of scenario planning, then provides an example from some scenarios work I did with the Oxford Future of Cities Programme (in […]

Harnessing Collective Intelligence for Crowdsourced Scenario Planning

This presentation is about a proposed schema for online, participatory scenario planning systems using crowdsourced or “collective intelligence” approaches. It introduces theories of collective intelligence, complexity, and organizational learning in the context of uncertainty and scenario planning, and provides several examples.

Complexity and adaptive change

Here is Part Two of a recent lecture I gave on complexity, strategy, and organisational development at the LSE Complexity Programme. This segment introduces a model of adaptive change developed at the Stockholm Resilience Institute, which explain empirical change in complex ecosystems.  The work has been expanded to other classes of socio-ecological systems, with preliminary […]