Category Archives: news

My Ill-Fated Adventure with DIY Drones

Dreams of “Dronership” It all began a year ago, when I first visited DragonMart. DragonMart is a building in Dubai, shaped like a 1.2 kilometer long dragon.  It houses about 4,000 shops the size of small closets and is the biggest reseller of Chinese goods outside of China. You can buy everything at DragonMart, from […]

Futurescaper: Call for participation and design

Calling all futures nerds, scenario planning hackers and Web 2.0 strategy activists I need your help developing Futurescaper, a large scale participatory futures system for next generation governance and strategy making. This is a high functioning art project designed to prototype key elements of a crowd-sourced scenario planning approach to urban governance and design.  The current […]

Overcoming cognitive bias in group decision-making

I just posted a short white paper, extracted from a larger work in progress, highlighting the need for participatory group techniques designed to overcome cognitive bias in group decision-making. Here is an excerpt: Climate change requires systemic understanding of linked cause and effect, remote in both time and space. Studies of human decision-making reveal several […]

Complexity and adaptive change

Here is Part Two of a recent lecture I gave on complexity, strategy, and organisational development at the LSE Complexity Programme. This segment introduces a model of adaptive change developed at the Stockholm Resilience Institute, which explain empirical change in complex ecosystems.  The work has been expanded to other classes of socio-ecological systems, with preliminary […]

Preparing for and adapting to radical non-linear change

I’ve finally finished uploading clips from the LSE talk I gave last month on management strategies for complexity and non-linear change. This final clip emphasises that the connectivity, interaction and volatility of complex adaptive systems makes non-linear change inevitable and their timing unknowable.  I then argue that it is difficult to build resilience in the […]

Real time data collection, urban parametric modeling and remote control urbanism

This is talk I gave last year at the Resources for Urban Design (RUDI), on the potentials and possibilities offered by new wireless sensor technologies for urban planning and design. A fun and fast overview. Topics covered include: Smart bricks Spimes RFID sensor networks Real time data collection Dynamic ride sharing and transportation Remote control […]

Vegas Online Scenario Planning System

Vegas Online Scenario Planning System from Noah Raford on Vimeo. This is a mock up for a proposed online scenario planning system I have been thinking about as part of my PhD research, tentatively called the “Vega(s) System”. Why “Vega(s)”, instead of just “Vega” or “Vegas”? Vega is one of brightest stars in the sky […]

Adapting Snowden's Cynefin Framework to Encompass Systemic Organisational Change

This is part of my recent LSE lecture on complexity strategies for change. In this segment I introduce Dave Snowden‘s Cynefin Framework of knowledge management, then adapt it to Gunderson and Holling’s resilience work on the Adaptive Change Cycle. The result is a new framework for strategy making in the context of different kinds of […]

Competitive strategies during industrial and social collapse, LSE lecture Part 2

A couple of weeks ago I gave the second talk in a series of talks looking at the underlying evidence, mechanisms and meaning of collapse and phase transitions in complex systems and what this means for management. The first talk (slides and video here) focused heavily on the underlying science of collapse and non-linear transitions. […]

Collapse Dynamics: Phase Transitions in Complex Social Systems

Here are the original slides and video from my first lecture at the LSE complexity programme, exploring the underlying mechanisms of phase transition and non-linear change in social systems. This talk focused heavily on the underlying mechanisms of collapse and non-linear transitions.  The evidence suggests that systems become vulnerable to phase transition (i.e., collapse) when […]